Lately I've been watching the media and a picture is emerging that leaves me rather upset. No, frightened is more like it.
The US is moving material to Norway, fighter jets to Iceland and the Netherlands plus more and more troops deploying elsewhere around the globe, especially around the edges of Russia. Russia on the other hand, by heads of Putin, is continuously warning us, via the media, that we are being steered towards an armed conflict on a massive scale. Declaring no fly zones in Syria, the US of course not accepting. The Russian navy sailing toward Syria. The situation there is spinning out of control and a direct confrontation is all but inevitable.... And if that isn't enough, then there's always the South Chinese Sea, where once again the US is present an area with a military volatile situation, where surprisingly the Philippines change sides, turning the cold shoulder on the US.
The financial systems are failing us and about to implode (impending bankruptcy of the Deutsche Bank ring a bell?) and what better way to distract people from that rather uncomfortable bit of "news" than to create chaos by swarming mainland Europe with refugees and to beat the drums of war? Western mainstream media is all too eager to spread the word of terrorist threats everywhere and, here in Sweden, not a day goes by where the Russian threat is not being mentioned either. Many a blatant lie these media spread has been unravelled and proven false in alternative media, but the general populous is very willing to ignore those, almost instantly labelling them "conspiracy theorists". End of discussion there......
I don't have to draw out the geopolitical picture as it is at the moment. Those smart and brave (or dumb) enough can see that for themselves. the answers are out there for those willing to look and see..... The US, commanding it's NATO minions to follow, is steering us toward a war by cornering Russia, littering the globe with military bases, taunting the Chinese in the South Chinese Sea and generally making enemies, wherever their boots touch the ground. No, long in advance, so they create an excuse to send in those boots in the first place.
The tone of voice by US politicians and high military ranking officers is clear:"We will beat Russia"... Question is:"Why should you?", but that's a different matter altogether and one that will become insignificant, once the curtains fall.
What is keeping me preoccupied these days is:" And then what?"
What if, no when, war brakes out? I can not speak for others, but when I look at Sweden I get quite nervous. Sweden, having no military worth mentioning, despite starting drafting in conscripts again next year (which should be saying something too!!) is utterly defenceless. A collapse within a week is the general estimation. Any major deployment of troops by either side would be met with very little resistance. And yet that is not my main concern. My main concern is its total dependence on import, when it comes to daily life. According to several sources Sweden's level of self sufficiency is about 45-50%, but 100% dependency when it comes to fossil fuel based resources. And Sweden is easily cut off from the outside world, when it comes to bulk transport. And that is its achilles heel; transportation.
In case of such a cut-off, and in a war scenario that would be pretty much instantly, food- and fuel supplies would dwindle quite fast or become seized by the government for military and emergency services. Just a 50% reduction of oil import alone would mean a famine within weeks.
Any outside help that might make it over here, would end up in one of the three major cities, which house roughly 2.2 million of the total population of 9.6. That would mean supplies would probably never even leave the cities. I have no idea what an average person would need to live in weight, but it would take a daily armada just to feed each and everyone of those cities.
Even if, by some miraculous event, supplies were to leave the cities, there'd be mobs waiting for them just a few miles down the road, inland. So those inland would be left to fend for themselves and there aren't many who know how to. Even the vast majority of farmers depend on fuel and imported seed and fertilizer for their crops. Shops would be empty within days (hours more likely). Anyone remember the food riots of Venezuela in 2015?? And their issues are still not sorted! The problems continue in a country that has plenty of resources, but where the government has sold out its own people, just as it is happening here.... Where people on the fringes of society are pushed over the edge.
|Taken during the venezuela lootings|
But then the next blow will come: electricity. Although Sweden does have its own hydropower plants, windmill parks and nuclear reactors, these can not provide enough. Not by a longshot. So any remaining refrigerated or frozen food would spoil.... fast. The same might go for medicine. Some of it has to be kept refrigerated, but all of it has to be transported.
If there is anything our current society is totally dependent on, then it is those 2; transportation and electricity. And one single event just might knock out those 2; a severe winter storm or a flood might do it, but then people could still rely on help from the outside, since it would most likely be pretty local. But what if an entire country got cut off?? Especially a country like this one, highly vulnerable, completely helpless and picking the wrong friends. Social order would collapse in the blink of an eye. Then what? United we stand, divided we fall and this country appears to have completely lost any form of homogeneity, of community.
I am considering 2 options; the static one and the mobile one. Both have their distinct (dis)advantages.
The first one allows for stocking up on food and other supplies, having a vegetable garden and livestock and house a family in relative comfort. However it might just as easy attract unwanted attention, making you an easy target. You'd need a decent community, willing to help and defend each other. Plus it would be very hard to leave behind if the situation calls for it. As I mentioned before, a sense of community is all but absent in the village we live in, but we're working hard on that. Another issue is that we are the only ones seriously growing food and having some form of livestock here, making us stand out quite a bit.
The latter one makes it easier to adapt to the situation, simply by moving away. But it would mean quite a logistic endeavour, involving a functioning car and above all, fuel. If either fails, (and fuel might quickly become scarce) you are stranded. And a moving, working car probably would make a nice target as well. Lesser numbers also make a far less effective defense. And winter especially makes the latter option a whole lot less attractive, despite having a large, heated tent and field beds.
As a matter of fact I have just finished a book dealing with such a scenario resembling my visions and it confirms all I have feared, but also brought some new insights. Despite it being fiction it is very realistic. And grim.
Yeah, I really worry....
Will my kids belong to the generation that has to rebuild it all? If so, I sure do hope they will do a much, much better job then the ones before them did. because those really fucked up.
Either way, when everything does go belly up, we're in a world of hurt big time and my vivid imagination paints a picture that is none too pretty...